How she picks

Mohjeta is a computer model that runs on one home PC. For every game she covers, she works out how likely each side is to win, compares that with the price on Kalshi (a regulated prediction market), and places a small bet. Everything she does is shown here, wins and losses alike.

1. She gathers the evidence

• Markets: Kalshi, sportsbook lines and other prediction markets: what the betting world already thinks.
• Team strength: ratings built from real final scores, plus offense and defense.
• Players: every basketball player rated by what happens to the score while he is on the floor, who is injured tonight, and who will play the minutes.
• The situation: rest, back-to-backs, travel, referees, weather and late news.

2. She turns it into one number

She blends the evidence into one chance for each side, for example "Knicks 71%". The Scorecard grades every source against real results, so you can see which ones have earned their place.

3. She compares it with the price

A Kalshi price of 59¢ means the market gives that side about a 59% chance. Each game shows both numbers so you can see the gap yourself.

4. She bets small and the same every time

About $5 a game in the sports she bets, so no single game can swing the record. Other sports are practice: she still picks them, but does not bet. Right now all bets are paper bets: real Kalshi prices, pretend money, while the record builds.

5. Everything is recorded and sealed

Each recorded bet has a fingerprint linked to the preceding entry. The Record tab checks the saved chain and reports whether current entry fields match their seals. This is a consistency check, not proof that an entire history could never be replaced.

What to keep in mind

• Favorites win more often, but they pay less: a 60¢ bet wins about $4 and loses $6.
• A few days of results is mostly luck. Judge her over hundreds of games.
• She dropped soccer in October 2026 after it lost money. Its record is shown on the Record tab.

Using her picks anywhere

Her picks are not tied to one site. Each pick shows three numbers you can check against any sportsbook or prediction market:

• Her chance: how likely she thinks the side is to win, for example 53%.
• Fair odds: the same chance written as American odds (53% ≈ −113). At fair odds a bet breaks even over time.
• Value at: the price where the pick has some value, with a 3-point cushion for fees and her own errors. If your site offers that price or better, the pick has value if her number is right. If not, it is a pass.

Reading the price

• American odds: −150 means bet $150 to win $100; +130 means bet $100 to win $130. A bigger plus number or a smaller minus number is a better price.
• Prediction markets: a 48¢ price is the same as about 48%. Lower is a better price.

Be honest with yourself

So far the betting markets have been about as accurate as she is, or more. Her record and the Scorecard show where she stands. Until her record shows she beats the market over hundreds of games, treat "value at" as a guide, not a promise.

Play responsibly

• 21+ only. Betting is only legal for adults, and only in some places. Follow the law where you live.
• Expect to lose. Even good models lose often, and most bettors lose money over time.
• Set a limit before you start and stop when you hit it. Never chase losses or bet money you need.
• Take breaks. If betting stops being fun, stop.

Need help? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (free, confidential, 24/7), or visit ncpgambling.org.

Terms of use

Last updated October 31, 2026.

• Information and entertainment only. Mohjeta is a computer model. Her picks, chances, odds and ratings are estimates and opinions, not betting, financial, investment or legal advice, and not a recommendation that any person place any bet.
• No guarantees. Past results do not predict future results. Data can be late, missing or wrong. You use this site at your own risk.
• We do not take bets or hold money. This site does not accept wagers, hold funds or place bets for anyone. Any bet you make is your own decision, on a site you choose.
• 21+ and legal use only. You must be at least 21 and follow the laws where you live.
• Paper bets. The bets shown are paper bets at real market prices, recorded and sealed the moment they are made.
• Not affiliated. Mohjeta is independent and not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi, any sportsbook, league or team. Team and league names are used only to identify games.
• Limitation of liability. To the fullest extent the law allows, Mohjeta and its owner are not liable for any loss or damage from using this site or acting on anything shown here.
• Community chat. Be respectful. No harassment, hate, spam, links, referral codes, selling picks, or claims that any pick is "guaranteed". You must be 21+. You are responsible for what you post. Moderators may remove messages and mute or ban accounts at any time.
• Changes. These terms and the site may change at any time. Using the site means you accept the current terms.
• Contact. Questions, reports or requests: mohjozojo@gmail.com.

Privacy

Last updated October 31, 2026.

• No tracking cookies, no ads. You can use the whole site without an account.
• Chat accounts (optional): if you sign in to the community chat, our chat provider (Supabase) stores your email address (only for signing in), your chat name, your messages, your Pick'em picks and, if you sign in with Google or Discord, a link to that account's profile picture. Your chat name, picture, messages and Pick'em record are public to other visitors; your email is not. Ask us to delete your chat account at any time.
• Saved on your phone only: your settings (color-blind mode, the 21+ check, the install tip) are stored in your browser and never sent to us.
• Hosting: the site is hosted on GitHub Pages. Like any web host, GitHub may log basic technical data such as IP addresses for security. See GitHub's privacy statement.
• Visitor counts and who's online: your browser gets a random ID (stored in your browser, not a cookie; no name, no IP address). We record only that this random ID visited on a day, and show totals. "Who's online" shows how many people have the site open right now and the chat names of signed-in chatters; nothing about it is stored. Clear this site's data in your browser to reset the ID.
• Changes: if this ever changes (for example, accounts for a paid version), this page will be updated first.
• Contact / delete your account: email mohjozojo@gmail.com and we will delete your chat account, name, photo link, messages and picks.